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ERETZ SURVEY - July 15, 2006

 

The Shi'ite-Sunni Genie is out of the Bottle

Rockets continued to fall on Western and Upper Galilee, as Israeli continues to strike at Lebanon to put an end to the attacks. Israel's goal is to force the Lebanese government to take control of southern Lebanon.

Even though the rocket attacks on the Galilee are still continuing, the Hizbullah is finding it more and more difficult to launch them. The Hizbullah headquarters in Beirut has been destroyed, communications with southern Lebanon have been severed, and this morning Hizbullah centers in Tripoli were attacked. The next stage is to clean up southern Lebanon, ending the domination of the Hizbullah and its supporters - the Shi'ite population. Leaflets calling on this population to leave already have been dropped on the villages and towns of southern Lebanon. In the meantime, the Israeli Air Force is attacking gas stations and energy centers, making movement in southern Lebanon difficult. The loss of communications and the loss of the ability to move around will bring the rocket attacks to a standstill. At the same time, rolling back the population from the border will put the Galilee beyond the range of most of the rockets.

"We are ready to discuss the return of the kidnapped soldiers and the evacuation of the Hizbullah from southern Lebanon," Prime Minister Ehud Olmert said in response to the UN delegation that wants to come to Israel to discuss the situation.

In the meantime, Saudi Arabia has declared that the blame for the situation lies with the Hizbullah. The Egyptians and the Jordanians are giving out the same message. For the Hizbullah this is the most worrying development in the last few days: It is an opening of the rift between the Sunni majority in the Arab world and the Shi'ite minority, which has put its trust in the Shi'ites of Iran, who are not Arabs. Shi'ite Iran's attempt to take control of the Sunni Arab's world is a major worry in the Arab world. The Hizbullah has now put itself outside the Arab fold - and in the Shi'ite-Iranian world. This will have major consequences for the future of the Shi'ites in Lebanon and their ability to continue living in Lebanon.

 The Hizbullah has let the Shi'ite-Sunni genie out of the bottle. The Shi'ites of Lebanon are going to pay the price - and they have only themselves to blame for their fate.



 

 

PREVIOUS  SURVEYS

Borders and Frontiers

Disturbing Facts

War on the Lebanese Border

Changing the Rules


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