Nearly two
centuries ago, Prussian military thinker Carl von Clausewitz set
out the rules of modern military engagement. The attacking
force, Clausewitz stipulated, must outnumber the
defending force by three to one. Why? In order to outweigh
the three advantages of the defenders: control of the terrain;
established defenses; and intimate knowledge of the area. Time and
time again, the brilliance of these Prussian rules of combat has
been demonstrated - and now it is becoming evident that they
also apply to the current engagement in Lebanon.
Israel has the ability
to win the war against Hizbullah, and to win it easily. Its
ground forces outnumber the Hizbullah's forces dozens of times more than
Clausewitz's law. Plus Israel's ability to sustain them in the field
is hundreds of times higher than the Hizbullah fighters' ability
to hold out. The problem is, as usual, a concept: the concept that
the battle can be won without the use of major ground forces.
Instead, Israel has based its campaign almost solely on attacks from the air, artillery barrages, and small commando-like attacks on the enemy's strongholds.
However, tactics like these have
failed time and time again.
Finally, as the war enters
its third week, the Israeli authorities are regaining their senses
and
returning to the basics. If Israel wants to win this thing, it
must
put major ground forces into southern Lebanon, not in order to
stay there, but in order to search out and destroy the
caches of rockets and the forces that operate them.
Israel is finally
mobilizing the ground forces that it needs to finish this
engagement. It will take a few days to get them ready;
towards the end of next week, they should be in the field. It
then will
take a couple of weeks for them to clean up southern Lebanon and put
an end to the rocket fire emanating from it. The question that we, the
Israelis, must demand an answer to is why we had to bear three
weeks of Katusha attacks - three weeks that one million Israelis
spent in bunkers or
living as refugees, camped out at the homes of relatives and friends.
Hizbullah Secretary-General
Hassan Nasrallah already
has lost his war. His forces have been depleted, his hold on Lebanon
has declined. When all this is over, the Lebanese will ask
why was this necessary and Nasrallah's Iranian overlords will
demand explanations for his misreading of Israel's reaction.
But, next time Israel is forced to go to war, let's remember to stick to the basics:
carry a big stick and, when necessary, use it efficiently.
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